Erste Bank analysts predict that by 2030 the population of Ukraine may be reduced to 39 million. This analysis was made before the second census to be held in Ukraine this year.
Erste Bank analysts have analyzed the operational data on demographics, which will be evaluated in more detail at the time of the census. According to them, by 2014 the number of people living with HIV may double to 3.5% of the adult population.
The research also shows that, with the exception of those employed in the informal sector, there is one pensioner per one employee in Ukraine, and Ukrainian men are in the 5th place out of 192 countries by mortality from cardiovascular diseases.
Analysts also noted that the Ukrainians have changed the approach to the formation of families: marriages have become more stable, however, the number of illegitimate children has increased - one in five children is born out of wedlock.